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A few of my favorite prop bets

A few of my favorite prop bets

A few of my favorite prop bets

The big game is just around the corner, and that means it’s prop bet mania in Las Vegas. I’m not a fan of the “offshore only” props (what color will the Gatorade bath be, etc.), instead preferring to stick to the stuff you can find in the box score.

Here’s a few of my favorite prop bets for this weekend (odds via Westgate Superbook from a few days ago):

WILL THERE BE A SAFETY (Yes +600, No -900) – YES

With as good as the Rams defensive front can be, I think there’s a decent chance they get to Brady a few times. I wouldn’t put it past Wade Phillips to take a shot at him if the Pats are backed up near the goal line. At +600, I’d take a flyer for a few bucks.

TOTAL FUMBLES LOST BY BOTH TEAMS: 1.5 (OVER +170, UNDER -200) – OVER

I could see both teams trying to run the football a lot in this game, which leads to a heightened potential for losing the ball. Both teams averaged 0.4 fumbles lost per game this season, but with more on the line, I think we’ll see a few knocked loose.

TOTAL RUSHING YARDS BY TOM BRADY: 1.5 (OVER +130, UNDER -150) – OVER

I think Brady breaks loose for a 10-yard scramble, and has to sneak for one or two. That should negate whatever he loses in sacks.

WHO WILL BE THE MVP? – Rex Burkhead (100/1) 

If the Patriots win the game, and Burkhead has the kind of day he did in the AFC Championship game, he could easily nab the MVP- especially if Brady throws a pick or two. I could see Rex rushing for 40 yards with 50 receiving yards and a couple of touchdowns. Sony Michel seems to be a popular pick, but he’s not a versatile in pass protection as New England’s other backs. Betting on this kind of thing isn’t worth the time if you’re playing short odds (Brady is EVEN), so why not take a shot at 100/1?

You can see a full list of prop bets HERE

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